Ohio Politician Prediction Markets & 2026 Odds
Ohio politicians in prediction markets: a page for each candidate or officeholder an Ohio contract involves, stating the office or ballot line from official sources.
People
2 people| Portrait | Person | Named in | Since |
|---|---|---|---|
| AA | Amy ActonNo office on record | Ohio Senate Odds 2026 — settled · Democratic Party settled yes · 1 more · 8 stories | No date on record |
| SB | Sherrod BrownNo office on record | Ohio Senate Odds 2026 — settled · Democratic Party settled yes · 3 more · 8 stories | No date on record |
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Local newsActon's win settles an Ohio governor board that had made her a five-in-six favorite
Acton's unofficial lead of 364,448 votes settled a board that had the Democratic side at 83% on both venues the night before the vote, which means the one-in-six upset the market left room for never came close.
Photo: Myselfsour2724 / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
Local newsOhio Democrats flip three House seats, two of them the markets had priced for Republicans
Kalshi and Polymarket both had Turner's side at 71% in the 10th District on November 2, 2026, which means Knickerbocker's win, called by the AP on November 5, is the second Ohio upset of the night, after Leonard's in a 15th District priced 63% Republican.
Photo: Architect of the Capitol / Wikimedia Commons, public domain
Local newsBrown takes back an Ohio Senate seat on a board that kept Husted a live underdog to the end
Kalshi had Brown's side at 70% on November 2, 2026, well below the 83% on Acton, which means the market priced the Senate as the closer Ohio race, and Brown's five-point unofficial margin against her nearly eight bore that out.
Photo: Office of Senator Sherrod Brown / Wikimedia Commons, public domain
What the Ohio People Index Holds
Its pages include Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown, the Democrats who won the governor's race and the U.S. Senate special election on November 3, 2026, in unofficial results on the Associated Press calls. An Ohioan gets a page when a contract on this site names them or prices a race they are in, and when the office or ballot line can be confirmed from official sources: Wikidata checked against the office's own site, the Clerk of the House member list, the U.S. Senate's list of senators, or the Secretary of State's official canvass. The offices in play are the Governor of Ohio, the U.S. Senate seat in the November 3, 2026 special election and Ohio's fifteen U.S. House seats. The races themselves are on the governor market page, the Senate market page and the elections page.
What Changes the Ohio People Index
A name is added when a qualifying contract appears and the office claim can be sourced, never from a contract label alone, since an exchange can print a candidate's name on a contract that pays on a party. Existing pages change on dated events: the November 3, 2026 election, a certified result, a resignation, an appointment like Governor Mike DeWine's January 2025 choice of Jon Husted for the Senate, or a new contract naming the person. Office lines are rechecked against official listings at least monthly. A national contract that names an Ohioan appears on that person's page as a named market, never as an Ohio market page, because the question belongs to the whole country.
Why Ohio Politician Prediction Markets
A contract on an Ohio race is a contract on a party. Kalshi pays on the party of the person sworn in or inaugurated, or earlier once a consensus of media organizations projects the winner, and Polymarket prints names for convenience while resolving on each party's nominee. That is why a person page carries the race, the office and the contract's terms rather than a price of its own; the market page carries the figure, with each exchange's quote under its name. For the person, the price is a reading of the race they are in, not a verdict on them. Nothing here grades a politician or takes a side, and a projection is never written up as a result: a result needs the official count.
Questions readers ask
How do prediction markets on politicians work?
A contract on a politician's race asks whether one side wins, for example whether the Democratic nominee wins the Ohio governor's race on November 3, 2026, and pays a fixed amount if so. The price is what traders pay for that payout, read as a probability, and it resolves on the official outcome the exchange's rules name, not on a poll.
Which Ohio politicians have prediction markets?
The nominees in the statewide races Ohio contracts priced: Amy Acton (D) and Vivek Ramaswamy (R) for governor, and Sherrod Brown (D) and Jon Husted (R) for the Senate seat, per Franklin County's election board, plus the House nominees. Acton and Brown won by the Associated Press calls on November 3, 2026, pending certification; the contracts pay on the party, not the person.
Who is the governor of Ohio?
Mike DeWine, a Republican, has been Governor of Ohio since January 14, 2019, per Wikidata and the National Governors Association. He was not a candidate in 2026: Democrat Amy Acton won the November 3, 2026 election to succeed him, by the Associated Press call, and the result is unofficial until the Secretary of State certifies it.
Who are Ohio's U.S. senators?
Bernie Moreno and Jon Husted, both Republicans, per the U.S. Senate's list of senators updated October 8, 2026 and Wikidata. Husted, appointed by Governor Mike DeWine in January 2025, lost the November 3, 2026 special election for the term ending January 3, 2029 to Democrat Sherrod Brown, by the Associated Press call; the result is unofficial until certified.
Are prediction markets on politicians legal in Ohio?
The legal status page on this site reports what Ohio law, the state's gaming regulator and the courts have said about the exchanges, as of its stated date, and draws no conclusion past that. This index names people and offices only; nothing on Ohio Predictions is legal advice.