GuideLegal status · record, not advice
Prediction Markets in Ohio: Legal Status
Short answer. Ohio's Casino Control Commission says sports-event contracts on prediction markets need an Ohio sports gaming license, and federal courts have declined to block that law against Kalshi. This page reports the filings without a conclusion.
Ohio Predictions staff · · Status as of November 6, 2026 · Last reviewed Nov 6, 2026 · Next review Nov 20, 2026 · 16 sourcesAt a glance
Two platforms · what the record documents for each, and the next dated step| Platform | Status | As of | Next date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | The Ohio Casino Control Commission's letter of March 31, 2025 told Kalshi that offering event contracts on sporting events to people in Ohio without a sports gaming license violates Ohio law and demanded written notice of compliance by April 14, 2025 [4]. Kalshi sued in the Southern District of Ohio on October 7, 2025 (No. 2:25-cv-01165, source 6); the court denied its motion for a preliminary injunction on March 9, 2026 [8], and on September 25, 2026 the Sixth Circuit affirmed that denial and remanded for further proceedings [1]. The CFTC's interpretation of November 5, 2026 [11, 12] does not itself change that record. Every Ohio document located concerns Kalshi's sports-event contracts; none addresses its other contracts, and this page draws no conclusion about them. | Sep 25, 2026 | — |
| Polymarket | No Ohio-specific court filing, Ohio Casino Control Commission order or letter, statute or platform notice naming Polymarket could be read as of November 6, 2026, so no conclusion is drawn about it. Polymarket's international platform lists the United States as close-only, where users cannot open new positions. News reports describe an October 2, 2026 Commission letter to the company behind Polymarket's U.S. exchange and a federal suit it filed in the Southern District of Ohio; neither document could be opened, because the public docket mirror now requires a login. | Nov 6, 2026 | — |
Status as of November 6, 2026
Ohio's sports gaming law is R.C. Chapter 3775. No one may operate or conduct sports gaming in Ohio without a license from the Ohio Casino Control Commission (R.C. 3775.03(A)(1)), "sports gaming" means "the business of accepting wagers on sporting events" (R.C. 3775.01(O)(1)), and R.C. 3775.02(A) gives the Commission jurisdiction over all persons conducting or participating in it, with power to license, regulate, investigate and penalize them.
The Commission's position, set out in letters of March 31, 2025 and August 25, 2025, is that offering event contracts on sporting events to people in Ohio without that license violates Ohio law. Every Ohio document located on prediction markets, those letters and the court filings that followed them, concerns sports-event contracts only.
Kalshi: the Commission's cease-and-desist letter of March 31, 2025 is addressed to Kalshi. Kalshi sued to stop the Commission from enforcing Ohio law against its exchange; the Southern District of Ohio denied a preliminary injunction on March 9, 2026, and on September 25, 2026 the Sixth Circuit affirmed that denial and remanded for further proceedings. No final judgment has been located. The full Kalshi history is on the Kalshi legal page.
Robinhood: Robinhood is a broker, not one of the venues whose prices this site prints, but it is the one firm whose own filing describes an agreement with the Commission. Its quarterly report says that on October 26, 2026 it agreed to stop offering new sports-related event contracts in Ohio by November 2, 2026, in exchange for the Commission's agreement to refrain from enforcing state gaming laws while the prediction-market appeals are pending. Its help page, read November 6, 2026, says Ohio residents can't open new sports event contracts as of November 2.
Polymarket: no Ohio-specific court filing, Commission order or letter, statute or platform notice naming Polymarket could be read as of November 6, 2026, so this page draws no conclusion about it.
Federal guidance: on November 5, 2026 the CFTC issued an interpretation that geographic access restrictions inside the United States are inconsistent with its impartial-access rule, Regulation 38.151(b). It is federal guidance on the duties of federally regulated exchanges. It does not itself overturn an Ohio statute or a court order, and whether federal law preempts Ohio's law is a question for the courts.
What the court filings show
R.C. 3775.02 took effect on March 23, 2022, enacted by House Bill 29 of the 134th General Assembly. Nearly three years later, on January 22, 2025, Kalshi self-certified sports-event contracts and began listing them, as the Sixth Circuit's opinion records.
About ten weeks later the Commission acted. Its letter of March 31, 2025, signed by its executive director and filed as an exhibit to Kalshi's complaint, says that "by offering 'event contracts' on sporting events to citizens located within the State of Ohio, without a sports gaming license," Kalshi was violating Ohio law, and asked for written notice of compliance by April 14, 2025. On August 25, 2025 the Commission wrote to every Ohio sports gaming licensee that offering sporting event contracts in Ohio without a sports gaming license violates Ohio law, and that a licensee's choice to offer them, or to partner with a company that does, would weigh in its suitability review. On October 6, 2025 it told Kalshi's lawyers it was "unpersuaded that Ohio law is preempted by federal law as Kalshi contends" and expected compliance by October 20, 2025.
Kalshi filed suit the next day, October 7, 2025, in the Southern District of Ohio (No. 2:25-cv-01165) against the Commission, its executive director and members, and the Ohio Attorney General, together with a motion for a preliminary injunction. Chief Judge Sarah D. Morrison's Opinion and Order of March 9, 2026 ends: "Because the Court finds that Kalshi has not carried its burden to establish that the circumstances demand such extraordinary relief, the Motion for Preliminary Injunction is DENIED." Kalshi appealed the next day; she denied an injunction pending appeal on March 20, 2026, and on March 27, 2026 the parties jointly asked her to stay the case while the appeal ran.
Two further Ohio proceedings are described in a complaint that Underdog Exchange DCM, Inc. and UDM, LLC filed in the Northern District of Ohio on September 8, 2026 (No. 1:26-cv-02169). That complaint states that on April 14, 2026 the Commission issued Kalshi a notice of intent to impose a penalty or fine of $5 million (Case No. 2026-SGR-001), and that on June 29, 2026 Kalshi challenged the proceeding in the Franklin County Court of Common Pleas (KalshiEX LLC v. Morrison, No. 26 CV 006013). Underdog's own suit asks the federal court to stop the Attorney General and the Commission from enforcing Ohio's gambling and sports gaming laws against its event contracts.
The Sixth Circuit heard Kalshi's appeal on July 30, 2026 alongside a Tennessee case and decided both on September 25, 2026: "we affirm the Southern District of Ohio's denial of Kalshi's motion for a preliminary injunction, vacate the Middle District of Tennessee's grant of Kalshi's motion, and remand for further proceedings consistent with this opinion." The panel held that Kalshi had not shown its sports-event contracts are "swaps" within the CFTC's exclusive jurisdiction and, in the alternative, that the Commodity Exchange Act does not preempt Ohio's or Tennessee's gambling laws. On the impartial-access rule, it wrote that the regulation "is about economic rather than geographical impartiality."
What changed in October and November 2026
Robinhood's quarterly report, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on October 28, 2026, says its derivatives unit "received a cease and desist letter from the Ohio Casino Control Commission demanding that RHD stop offering sports-related event contracts in Ohio" on October 2, 2026, and that on October 26 it "agreed to cease offering new sports-related event contracts in Ohio by November 2, 2026 in exchange for the Commission's agreement to refrain from enforcing its state gaming laws during the pendency of RHD's and other prediction-market operators' appeals in the Sixth Circuit and the Supreme Court of the United States." Its help page, read November 6, 2026, carries the result: "As of November 2, 2026, Ohio residents can't open new sports event contracts."
On November 5, 2026 the CFTC issued press release 9323-26 and an interpretation of Regulation 38.151(b), approved by the Commission and effective on Federal Register publication, which had not happened by November 6. The interpretation says the Commodity Exchange Act and the Commission's rules "generally do not permit a DCM to limit access based on the location of an otherwise eligible market participant within the United States," and that exchanges "are responsible for ensuring that intermediaries are not impeding" impartial access. The release says exchanges "must cease domestic geographic restrictions that violate the Impartial Access Requirements within 30 days, or else submit to the Division of Market Oversight" an explanation, and should see within 30 days that intermediaries comply, or explain why that is not feasible. The interpretation names no company and no state, and nothing located says how it bears on Robinhood's agreement with the Commission; this page draws no conclusion on that.
What is not documented
No Ohio-specific primary document naming Polymarket could be read as of November 6, 2026, so this page draws no conclusion about it; the search is repeated on November 20, 2026. News reports describe Commission letters of October 2, 2026 to Polymarket's U.S. exchange and other companies, and a federal suit by that exchange in the Southern District of Ohio. Only Robinhood's own filing describes one of those letters, so this page reports Robinhood's and no other.
Some Ohio documents could not be read on November 6, 2026. The public mirror of the federal dockets now requires a login, so this page does not report docket entries after the documents it cites: it does not say whether the Sixth Circuit has issued its mandate, ruled on any request for rehearing, or whether the district case has resumed. The Commission's and the governor's websites returned error pages. The April 14, 2026 penalty notice and the Franklin County case are known only from Underdog's complaint, so this page does not say how either proceeding stands.
What happens next
The release gives exchanges 30 days. It does not say whether they run from November 5, 2026 or from Federal Register publication; counted from the release date, they end on December 5, 2026. By then, under the release, each exchange is to end its domestic geographic restrictions or explain to the Division of Market Oversight why it cannot, and do the same for its intermediaries.
In Kalshi's district case, the parties' joint motion of March 27, 2026 asked for a stay pending appeal and proposed a joint status report within 21 days after the Sixth Circuit's mandate. The Robinhood agreement, as its filing describes it, runs while the appeals are pending. Each of these, and the Polymarket record, is checked again at the next review, on November 20, 2026.
What this page does not do
This page is not legal advice. It does not say whether any person in Ohio may lawfully trade any contract on any venue, it offers no view on what any court, the Commission or the CFTC ought to decide, and it says nothing about how prediction-market proceeds are taxed. Every Ohio document cited concerns sports-event contracts; contracts on elections, the economy or anything else are outside what these documents address.
The page is reviewed every 14 days and after any filing, order, Commission action or CFTC action, and it shows its last review date. A correction is made on this page and dated. The disclosure page sets out the site's relationships, of which there are none.
Related coverage
Newest firstAll Ohio news →
NewsCFTC Tells Exchanges to End State Blocks Under a Rule the Sixth Circuit Read Differently in Ohio
The CFTC gave exchanges 30 days from November 5, 2026 to drop state limits or explain why, which sets its reading of the impartial-access rule against the Sixth Circuit's September reading of the same rule in Kalshi's Ohio case.
Photo: Riis2602 / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
NewsRobinhood Ends New Sports Contracts in Ohio in Exchange for a Pause in State Enforcement
The halt took effect November 2, 2026 under an October 26 agreement with the Ohio Casino Control Commission, which means the commission's promise not to enforce state gaming law against Robinhood lasts only as long as the appeals do.
Photo: Antony-22 / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
Timeline
Oldest first, from the documents themselves- R.C. 3775.02, enacted by House Bill 29 of the 134th General Assembly, takes effect, giving the Ohio Casino Control Commission jurisdiction over all persons conducting or participating in the conduct of sports gaming. [2]
- Kalshi self-certifies and begins listing sports-event contracts on its exchange, as the Sixth Circuit's opinion records. [1]
- The Commission's cease-and-desist letter tells Kalshi that offering event contracts on sporting events in Ohio without a sports gaming license violates Ohio law, and asks for written notice of compliance by April 14, 2025. [4]
- The Commission writes to Ohio's sports gaming licensees that offering sporting event contracts in Ohio without a sports gaming license violates Ohio law, and that it will weigh a licensee's involvement in them when judging suitability. [5]
- The Commission tells Kalshi's counsel it is unpersuaded that federal law preempts Ohio law and expects written compliance by October 20, 2025. [6]
- Kalshi sues the Commission, its executive director and members, and the Ohio Attorney General in the Southern District of Ohio (No. 2:25-cv-01165) and moves for a preliminary injunction. [7]
- Chief Judge Sarah D. Morrison denies Kalshi's motion for a preliminary injunction (ECF 69). [8]
- Kalshi appeals to the Sixth Circuit (No. 26-3196); the district court denies an injunction pending appeal on March 20, 2026. [9]
- Kalshi and the Ohio officials jointly ask the district court to stay the case while the appeal runs. [9]
- According to a complaint later filed by Underdog, the Commission issues Kalshi a notice of intent to impose a penalty or fine of $5 million (Case No. 2026-SGR-001). [10]
- A Sixth Circuit motions panel denies Kalshi an injunction pending appeal, as the court's later opinion records. [1]
- According to the same Underdog complaint, Kalshi sues in the Franklin County Court of Common Pleas over the penalty proceeding (KalshiEX LLC v. Morrison, No. 26 CV 006013). [10]
- The Sixth Circuit hears argument in Kalshi's Ohio appeal together with Tennessee's appeal in KalshiEX LLC v. Orgel. [1]
- Underdog Exchange DCM, Inc. and UDM, LLC sue the Ohio Attorney General and the Commission's officials in the Northern District of Ohio (No. 1:26-cv-02169). [10]
- The Sixth Circuit affirms the Southern District of Ohio's denial of a preliminary injunction, vacates the Tennessee injunction and remands. [1]
- Robinhood's derivatives unit receives a cease-and-desist letter from the Commission demanding that it stop offering sports-related event contracts in Ohio, according to Robinhood's quarterly report. [13]
- Robinhood agrees to stop offering new sports-related event contracts in Ohio by November 2, 2026, in exchange for the Commission's agreement not to enforce state gaming laws while the prediction-market appeals are pending. [13]
- Robinhood's notice to customers takes effect: Ohio residents can't open new sports event contracts. [14]
- The CFTC issues an interpretation that domestic geographic access restrictions are inconsistent with its impartial-access rule, and gives exchanges 30 days to end them, and to see that intermediaries do not impose them, or to explain why they cannot. [11]
This page is not legal advice. It reports what Ohio's sports gaming statute, the Ohio Casino Control Commission's letters and the court filings say, each with its date, and draws no conclusion about whether any person in Ohio may trade any contract.
Common questions
Are prediction markets legal in Ohio?
This page draws no legal conclusion. As of November 6, 2026, the Ohio Casino Control Commission's letters of March 31 and August 25, 2025 say that event contracts on sporting events offered in Ohio without a sports gaming license violate Ohio law, and the federal courts denied Kalshi a preliminary injunction against that law on March 9, 2026, affirmed September 25, 2026.
Who regulates sports gaming in Ohio?
The Ohio Casino Control Commission. R.C. 3775.02(A), in effect since March 23, 2022, gives it jurisdiction over everyone conducting or participating in sports gaming, with authority to license, regulate, investigate and penalize them.
Does the CFTC's November 2026 guidance change Ohio law?
Not by itself. The CFTC's interpretation of November 5, 2026 tells federally regulated exchanges that state-by-state access limits are inconsistent with its impartial-access rule and gives them 30 days to end them or explain why; it does not repeal R.C. Chapter 3775 or reverse the Sixth Circuit's ruling of September 25, 2026, and preemption is for the courts.
Can Ohio residents trade sports event contracts on Robinhood?
Not new ones. Robinhood's help page says that as of November 2, 2026 Ohio residents can't open new sports event contracts, under an October 26, 2026 agreement with the Ohio Casino Control Commission described in its quarterly report.
Has Ohio taken action against Polymarket?
No Ohio court filing, Commission order or letter, statute or platform notice naming Polymarket could be read as of November 6, 2026, so this page draws no conclusion about it. The search is repeated on November 20, 2026.
Sources
- Sixth Circuit opinion, KalshiEX LLC v. Schuler, Nos. 26-3196/5235 (September 25, 2026) — opn.ca6.uscourts.gov
- Ohio Revised Code 3775.02, regulation by the Ohio Casino Control Commission — codes.ohio.gov
- Ohio Revised Code Chapter 3775, sports gaming — codes.ohio.gov
- Ohio Casino Control Commission cease-and-desist letter to Kalshi, March 31, 2025 (S.D. Ohio No. 2:25-cv-01165, ECF 1-1) — storage.courtlistener.com
- Ohio Casino Control Commission letter to sports gaming licensees, August 25, 2025 (S.D. Ohio No. 2:25-cv-01165, ECF 1-5) — storage.courtlistener.com
- Ohio Casino Control Commission letter to Kalshi's counsel, October 6, 2025 (S.D. Ohio No. 2:25-cv-01165, ECF 1-8) — storage.courtlistener.com
- Complaint and motion for a preliminary injunction, KalshiEX LLC v. Schuler, S.D. Ohio No. 2:25-cv-01165 (October 7, 2025, ECF 1 and 11) — storage.courtlistener.com
- Opinion and Order denying Kalshi's motion for a preliminary injunction, S.D. Ohio, March 9, 2026 (ECF 69) — storage.courtlistener.com
- Joint motion to stay proceedings pending appeal, S.D. Ohio, March 27, 2026 (ECF 74) — storage.courtlistener.com
- Complaint, Underdog Exchange DCM, Inc. v. Wilson, N.D. Ohio No. 1:26-cv-02169 (September 8, 2026) — storage.courtlistener.com
- CFTC press release 9323-26, CFTC Issues Impartial Access Requirements Interpretation (November 5, 2026) — cftc.gov
- CFTC, DCM Impartial Access Requirements, interpretation, 17 CFR Part 38 (as approved by the Commission, November 5, 2026) — cftc.gov
- Robinhood Markets, Inc., Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, Commitments and Contingencies — sec.gov
- Robinhood, Event contract restrictions (help center notice) — robinhood.com
- Polymarket Documentation, Geographic Restrictions (the list the Polymarket Terms of Use incorporate) — docs.polymarket.com
- Order denying Kalshi's motion for an injunction pending appeal, S.D. Ohio, March 20, 2026 (ECF 73) — storage.courtlistener.com